BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Alabama St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 274 Overall: (20-16) Overall Strength =   24.90
Conference: Southwest Athletic Record: (15-6) | District: 1-02 Record: (19-12)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2024 Away    L   *  26.86  79  93    1  94 (18-15) UNLV                    1.46    -15.46                      
 2 11-10-2024 Away    L      30.92  61  74    1  84 (14-18) LSU                     5.51    -18.51                      
 3 11-18-2024 Home    W      15.28 115  64   ZZ 321 ( 0-13) VA-Lynchburg          -10.13 *   61.13                      
 4 11-22-2024 Neutral W   *  50.01  85  67    1 157 (22-13) NE Omaha               24.61     -6.61                      
 5 11-23-2024 Neutral W   *  33.16  77  75    1 158 (20-13) Lamar                   7.75     -5.75                      
 6 11-24-2024 Away    L   *  20.57  78  97    1 103 (28- 7) Akron                  -4.84    -14.16                      
 7 11-27-2024 Away    L      30.67  59  77    1  50 (19-16) Cincinnati              5.26    -23.26                      
 8 12-03-2024 Away    L   *  19.39  72 101    1  51 (24-11) SMU                    -6.01    -22.99                      
 9 12-05-2024 Away    L   *   9.04  64  81    1 300 (11-22) Southern Miss         -16.37     -0.63                      
10 12-11-2024 Home    W   *  31.88 103  93 1  1 287 (14-19) TN Martin               6.48      3.52                      
11 12-19-2024 Neutral L   *  13.38  54  71    1 178 (24-11) Norfolk St            -12.02     -4.98                      
12 12-20-2024 Neutral L   *  20.96  80  83    1 306 (16-14) Delaware St            -4.45      1.45                      
13 12-30-2024 Away    L      36.59  65  82    1  16 (22-12) Missouri               11.18 *  -28.18                      
14 01-04-2025 Home    W * *  25.94  84  55    1 360 ( 3-28) MS Valley St            0.54 *   28.46                      
15 01-06-2025 Home    W * *   9.22  93  91    1 359 ( 6-25) Ark Pine Bluff        -16.18     18.18                      
16 01-11-2025 Away    L * *  21.52  70  77    1 250 (16-18) Jackson St             -3.89     -3.11                      
17 01-13-2025 Away    L * *  21.77  65  67    1 325 (11-21) Alcorn St              -3.63      1.63                      
18 01-18-2025 Away    W * *  22.01  69  65    1 355 (10-22) Alabama A&M            -3.40      7.40                      
19 01-25-2025 Home    W * *  15.32  66  63    1 356 ( 5-27) Prairie View          -10.08     13.08                      
20 01-27-2025 Home    L * *  10.68  69  80    1 278 (15-17) TX Southern           -14.72      3.72                      
21 02-01-2025 Away    L * *  24.54  64  67    1 284 (17-16) Bethune-Cookman        -0.86     -2.14                      
22 02-03-2025 Away    W * *  25.59  67  66    1 328 (14-17) Florida A&M             0.19      0.81                      
23 02-08-2025 Home    L * *   9.94  67  77    1 329 (12-22) Grambling             -15.46      5.46                      
24 02-10-2025 Home    W * *  26.40  82  81    1 229 (20-12) Southern Univ           1.00     -0.00                      
25 02-15-2025 Away    W * *  25.34  75  63    1 359 ( 6-25) Ark Pine Bluff         -0.07     12.07                      
26 02-17-2025 Away    W * *  26.06  79  56    1 360 ( 3-28) MS Valley St            0.65     22.35                      
27 02-22-2025 Home    W * *  19.48  60  59    1 328 (14-17) Florida A&M            -5.92      6.92                      
28 02-24-2025 Home    L * *  19.43  68  70    1 284 (17-16) Bethune-Cookman        -5.97      3.97                      
29 03-01-2025 Home    W * *  53.89  94  52    1 355 (10-22) Alabama A&M            28.49     13.51                      
30 03-06-2025 Away    W * *  32.52  66  65    1 229 (20-12) Southern Univ           7.11     -6.11                      
31 03-08-2025 Away    W * *  38.06  59  47    1 329 (12-22) Grambling              12.65     -0.65                      
32 03-13-2025 Neutral W * *  29.74  84  79    1 278 (15-17) TX Southern             4.34      0.66                      
33 03-14-2025 Neutral W * *  25.00  64  62    1 329 (12-22) Grambling              -0.40      2.40                      
34 03-15-2025 Neutral W * *  29.46  60  56    1 250 (16-18) Jackson St              4.06     -0.06                      
35 03-18-2025 Neutral W   *  24.08  70  68    1 305 (15-18) St Francis PA          -1.32      3.32                      
36 03-20-2025 Neutral L      39.83  63  83    1   3 (32- 6) Auburn                 14.42 *  -34.42                      
      Averages              25.40  73.1 72.4

Best game:   53.89 = 42 point win over Alabama A&M
Worst game:   9.04 = 17 point loss to Southern Miss
Team stdev:  10.26